Beware the Moral Hazard

Risk of Financial Deterioration

FOMC backed downward in August, removing its tapering bias by matching the risk of financial deterioration versus the risk of elevated inflation, analysts said at the FTN. Still, nearby was abundance of anxiety about increase in prices and inflation opportunity in the report. Now Secretary Paulson has "set" Fannie and Freddie, Moral hazard: the outlook that a party insulate from hazard might behave in a different way than it would if fully uncovered to the risk. The rule of Unintended Consequences: The faith that events of people — and particularly of government — forever have unlooked for, or "unintentional," effects.

Moral Hazard is a term of insurance that stalk from an easy understanding that when people are made when their property is destroyed they might take risk with their assets they would otherwise not take. Economists have rented the expression to explain the risk took by depositors who wait for safety from loss by government post security. In an attempt to keep away from moral hazard, the Fed and Treasury cautiously designed their intervention at Bear Stearns and at Fannie and Freddie to make sure that shareholders were upset. In fact, Henry Paulson said to be angry about a loophole in the agreement with JP Morgan permitted Bearish Stearns to negotiate again the buy price from $2 to $10.

However, in preventing moral danger in the direction of equity investors, the Fed and Treasury shaped an even superior moral hazard by satisfying destroyers of funds. That is where the rule of unintended penalty comes in. The Fed and Treasury have prepared it clear during their proceedings that once they begin sniffing just about a company, speculators will be rewarded if they were short the stock and long CDS. The speculators can entice the Fed and treasury to take action simply by putting on the deal. Especially for the reason that the rating agency are so keen to look convincing, they are downgrading any person whose stocks price fall.